← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Happier
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Happier (SR:68, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field by SR margin, carrying a reasonable 9-9 and holding the only GoingFit:+ and DistFit:~ combination among contenders. The form string 049611 shows three consecutive wins culminating in a last-run victory just 6 days ago, confirming peak form right now. Running off the same mark as that last win (MarkMv:=) means connections haven't been punished by the handicapper yet, and trainer Keighley's 12% strike rate is solid for this level. The slight market drift of 5% is a mild concern but is more likely attributable to the quick back-up than any insider doubt. Each-way alternative: Dashing Donkey. Main danger: Dashing Donkey — Dashing Donkey (SR:63, 3/1) has steamed in 47% in the market — the most significant market move in the field — and carries the lightest weight of the serious contenders at 9-4, giving it a 5lb pull on Happier, which is significant in a Class 6 sprint even if the going and distance flags are both negative.
Full result
Winner: Balon D'or (GB) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Balon d'Or 5/1
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2
Happier Fox #1 9/4
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3
Dashing Donkey Fox #2 10/3
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4
Due Date 10/1
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5
Express Train 25/1
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6
Big Bard 20/1
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7
Diamond Dreamer Fox #3 10/1
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8
Peregrine Falcon 12/1
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9
Alashos 7/1
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—
Porfin 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Happier 9/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Dashing Donkey 3/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Diamond Dreamer 8/1 7TH