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Irish EBF Auction Series Race
Mr Fox’s call
Green Dreamer
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/5 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Green Dreamer (SR 79, 4/5) is the clear standout in this field. The market has backed this horse in aggressively — a 36% shortening from opening price — and the O'Brien yard's #1 runner is confirmed by the superior jockey booking: Dylan Browne McMonagle (15% strike rate from 1,027 rides) versus Declan McDonogh (8% from 630) on stablemate Seven Nation Army. Green Dreamer's form reads 5-1, with the most recent run a win, and it carries 9-10 — a meaningful 2lb weight advantage over Seven Nation Army (9-12) despite holding the higher probability of being the yard's primary target. The SR of 79 leads the field by a clear margin among genuinely competitive runners, and the connections signal — elite jockey, proven trainer, money coming in — all point the same direction. Each-way alternative: Sword Of State. Main danger: Sword Of State — Sword Of State (SR 76, 13/2) won last time out and shows no market drift, suggesting connections are quietly confident — at a price it represents the most credible threat to Green Dreamer.
Full result
Winner: Emotional Hedging (IRE) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Emotional Hedging 11/2
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2
Seven Nation Army 2/1
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3
Oristown Boy 6/1
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4
Grit And Glory 40/1
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5
Lars Soldier 15/2
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6
Gabby Hayes 40/1
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7
Noble Agenda Fox #3 11/2
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8
Sword Of State Fox #2 7/2
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—
Green Dreamer Fox #1 4/5
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Green Dreamer 4/5
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2
Sword Of State 13/2 8TH
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3
Noble Agenda 11/1 7TH