← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Class Grass Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Coulstys Way
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Coulstys Way (SR:59, 4/1) carries a very light 9-9 and has steamed in 17% in the market — the strongest positive market move in the field — suggesting stable confidence in a yard running at 10%. The SR of 59 is competitive for this level and the weight advantage over higher-rated rivals Catherine Magennis (SR:67, 10-2) and Lady Plimsoll (SR:65, 10-0) is meaningful at 1m4f on good ground where every pound counts. The form string 28-03U includes an unseated rider which distorts the recent picture, and prior to that there are respectable finishes; the market move suggests connections believe the horse is ready to build on that underlying ability. At 4/1 in a wide-open 18-runner handicap, the combination of market confidence, light weight, and credible SR justifies the pick. Each-way alternative: Catherine Magennis. Main danger: Catherine Magennis — Catherine Magennis carries the highest SR in the field (67) and despite drifting 9% has Seamie Heffernan booked — a jockey whose presence on any runner in an Irish provincial handicap is meaningful — and recent form of 7-2-3 shows consistent competitive placement at this level.
Full result
Winner: Fianna (IRE) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Fianna 22/1
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2
Lady Plimsoll Fox #3 10/3
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3
Summer Snow 22/1
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4
Yquem Fox #4 11/2
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5
Out On Friday 18/1
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6
Deralo Ir 33/1
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7
Enchanted Lady 14/1
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8
Chopsticks 28/1
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9
Coulstys Way Fox #1 4/1
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10
Lily Parr 17/2
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11
Catherine Magennis Fox #2 7/1
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12
Master Sydney 16/1
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13
Double Indian 40/1
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14
Daonethatgotaway 14/1
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15
Spy 10/1
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16
Duke Of Leggagh 33/1
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—
Autocrat 25/1
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—
Piatra Neamt 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Coulstys Way 4/1 9TH
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2
Catherine Magennis 11/2 11TH
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3
Lady Plimsoll 9/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Yquem 11/2 🏁 4TH