← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Haffner
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 SP 11/8F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Haffner (SR:120, 11/8) is the clear standout on every meaningful signal. The SR of 120 is the highest in the field by 11 points over Trean (SR:104) and represents a genuinely workmanlike-to-competitive ability level for a juvenile Group 3. The form string 212 shows consistent Group-level engagement — a runner-up, a win, and another runner-up, all at this class tier (ClassMv:=). Crucially, Ryan Moore (27% career strike rate, the deepest book in the sport) is aboard, and the market has shortened 6% since opening, confirming yard confidence from A P O'Brien's operation (22% strike rate, 530 runners). DistFit:+ confirms this 7f trip is proven territory. With every weight level at 9-3, this is a pure ability test, and Haffner wins it. Each-way alternative: Trean. Main danger: Gentle Hurricane — Gentle Hurricane (SR:82, 11/2) has shortened 21% in the market, Oisin Murphy (21% strike rate) is booked, Andrew Balding runs a powerful yard at 19%, and a perfect debut win suggests unexposed upside — the market is pricing in significant improvement from that single run.
Full result
Winner: Haffner (USA) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Haffner Fox #1 6/4
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2
Gentle Hurricane Fox #3 7/2
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3
Trean Fox #2 9/2
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4
Alfred Wallace Fox #4 15/2
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5
Clash Of Hearts 100/1
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6
Stardom Glory 11/1
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7
Big Cigar 40/1
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8
Siouxperb 66/1
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9
Fuel The Jet 14/1
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10
Vega King 20/1
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—
Confucius 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Haffner 11/8 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Trean 9/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Gentle Hurricane 11/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Alfred Wallace 13/2 🏁 4TH