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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

14:10 Lingfield (AW) Thu 20 Aug 2026 0m5f6y Class 5 Good 9 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Black Treasure silks

Black Treasure

SPECULATIVE Advised 12/1 Est. 32%

Mr Fox says

Black Treasure (SR:143, 12/1) is comfortably the highest-rated runner in this field by a significant margin — 5 points clear of Adelaides Turn (SR:138) and 12 clear of Sacred Rhythm (SR:131). The key signal is the 44% market move inward from opening price to current 12/1, suggesting informed money is arriving despite the long layoff (106 days). Dropping three class tiers (ClassMv:↓3) into a Class 5 novice is a significant advantage, and at 12/1 the market is undervaluing a horse whose SR towers over the rest of the field. The single form figure of '7' from debut is not alarming in this context — a first-time headgear flag (h) suggests connections have identified a physical reason for that underperformance and are now expecting a marked improvement. Each-way alternative: Adelaides Turn. Main danger: Inglewood — Inglewood is the 8/11 market favourite (Mkt:in11%) trained by Julie Camacho and drops a class tier, and while the SR:79 is well below Black Treasure's 143, the market's strong vote and recency (13 days since last run, form 5-2-3) means it could simply outbattle opponents on experience and racecourse fitness if Black Treasure's 106-day break tells against it.

Verify· #13251

Full result

Winner: Birkacre Brow (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Birkacre Brow silks Birkacre Brow James Tate · David Probert 4/1
  2. 2 Inglewood silks Inglewood Fox #3 Julie Camacho · Charles Bishop 8/11
  3. 3 Last Dandelion silks Last Dandelion Stuart Williams · Ryan Kavanagh(3) 11/2
  4. 4 Sacred Rhythm silks Sacred Rhythm Joseph Parr · Jason Watson 12/1
  5. 5 Fancied Angel silks Fancied Angel Adam Kirby · Pat Cosgrave 33/1
  6. 6 Glamorous Wild silks Glamorous Wild Mark Loughnane · Paddy Bradley 28/1
  7. 7 Adelaides Turn silks Adelaides Turn Fox #2 Robert Cowell · Rhys Clutterbuck 16/1
  8. 8 Leading Raya silks Leading Raya Mark Usher · Alicia Perkins(7) 200/1
  9. — Black Treasure silks Black Treasure Fox #1 Ollie Sangster · Dougie Costello 16/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Black Treasure silks Black Treasure 12/1
  2. 2 Adelaides Turn silks Adelaides Turn 14/1 7TH
  3. 3 Inglewood silks Inglewood 8/11 🥈 2ND