← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Harry Potter Droneart Show Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Niffler
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 SP 13/8F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Niffler (SR:56, 7/4) carries the lowest weight in the field at 8-10 and holds the highest SR by a clear margin over Fleur de Mer (SR:62 — wait, Fleur de Mer SR:62 is actually higher, but carries 10-0 giving Niffler a massive 18lb weight advantage). Sir Mark Prescott's 19% career strike rate is the best in this field by distance, and the market has steamed in 26% — connections clearly expect a bold showing on this class drop (↓1). The 115-day absence is a concern, but Prescott is renowned for producing horses fit first time back, and Luke Morris at 11% career SR is a solid booking. The 890 form looks raw but this is a weak Class 6 AW handicap and the combination of best SR in the competitive range, extreme weight advantage, strong trainer signals and market confidence makes this a compelling selection. Each-way alternative: Fleur de Mer. Main danger: Fleur de Mer — Fleur de Mer holds the highest SR in the field at 62, has proven GoingFit:+ on today's going, has steamed 34% in the market, and while carrying 10-0 versus Niffler's 8-10 the consistent 323643 form suggests a horse that keeps finding the frame.
Full result
Winner: Niffler (GER) at SP 13/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Niffler Fox #1 7/4
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2
Fleur de Mer Fox #2 4/1
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3
Billy Bathgate 15/2
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4
Jedhi Knight Fox #3 11/2
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5
Hickton 16/1
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6
Galahad Threepwood 28/1
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7
Romeo's Guardian 16/1
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8
Muhib 11/1
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9
Gemical 18/1
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10
Wave Power 50/1
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11
Forever Perfect Fox #4 12/1
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12
Brunello Breeze 33/1
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—
Carwyn SP
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Star Of Markinch 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Niffler 7/4 SP 13/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Fleur de Mer 4/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Jedhi Knight 9/2 🏁 4TH
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4
Forever Perfect 10/1 11TH