← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Knox Hydrate Handicap Stakes

20:24 Newcastle (AW) Thu 20 Aug 2026 0m5f0y Class 4 Good 13 runners

View the racecard →

Mr Fox’s call

Lethal Nymph silks

Lethal Nymph

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 SP 3/1F Est. 28%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Lethal Nymph (SR 82, 4/1, 9-13) is the clear SR leader in this field by a meaningful margin over the next-best group (SR 78), and has tightened 23% in the market — the most significant inward move among the top contenders. Running off a mark just 1lb below last win (MarkMv:-1), she has course form (W1P3 at Newcastle AW) and moderate distance and going fit (DistFit:~, GoingFit:~) which is sufficient at this class level. Paul Midgley's 10% strike rate is modest but the market move is doing real work here, and David Nolan is a capable operator at this track. The weight of 9-13 is manageable given she carries the highest SR in the field. Each-way alternative: Little Mi Mi. Main danger: Little Mi Mi — Little Mi Mi (SR 78, 4/1) matches Lethal Nymph on SR, carries 3lb less (9-10), has confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+), course form (W1P1 at Newcastle), and a recent form string of 210411 showing genuine consistency — the class rise (↑1) and a 6lb higher mark than last win are the only concerns.

Verify· #13407

Full result

Winner: Lethal Nymph (GB) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Lethal Nymph silks Lethal Nymph Fox #1 Paul Midgley · David Nolan 7/2
  2. 2 Changeofmind silks Changeofmind Declan Carroll · Zak Wheatley 22/1
  3. 3 Little Mi Mi silks Little Mi Mi Fox #2 Iain Jardine · Jack Nicholls(3) 9/2
  4. 4 Smart Vision silks Smart Vision Fox #3 Jessica Macey · Lewis Edmunds 6/1
  5. 5 Too Much silks Too Much David Thompson · Dylan Hogan 40/1
  6. 6 Azuinthejungle silks Azuinthejungle Fox #4 Nigel Tinkler · Alex Jary(3) 17/2
  7. 7 True Promise silks True Promise Fionn McSharry · Harry Russell 14/1
  8. 8 Castan silks Castan Bryan Smart · Paul Mulrennan 7/1
  9. 9 Copper Knight silks Copper Knight Tim Easterby · James Sullivan 25/1
  10. 10 Buzz Box silks Buzz Box Michael Herrington · Jason Hart 13/2
  11. 11 Duran silks Duran Nigel Tinkler · Faye McManoman 12/1
  12. 12 Ice Cold Alex silks Ice Cold Alex Ollie Pears · Luke Morris 33/1
  13. 13 Star Material silks Star Material Adrian Keatley · Oisin McSweeney 12/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Lethal Nymph silks Lethal Nymph 4/1 SP 3/1F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Little Mi Mi silks Little Mi Mi 4/1 🥉 3RD
  3. 3 Smart Vision silks Smart Vision 11/2 🏁 4TH
  4. 4 Azuinthejungle silks Azuinthejungle 6/1 6TH