← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
National Stud Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Be Patient
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Be Patient (SR 101, 11/4) carries the joint-lowest weight at 8-12 and holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field — a meaningful SR edge over Round The Table (SR 97) and Tycoon/Race To The Stars (both SR 91). The market has moved decisively in its favour, shortening 28% since opening, which is a significant steaming signal in a six-runner Class 3 handicap. The form line of 31-12 shows a win last time out (rightmost digit) and consistent competitiveness, and trainer Edward Bethell runs at a solid 16% strike rate. The class rise (↑1) and a mark 7lb higher than at last win are genuine negatives, but the weight advantage over top-weight Astro King (10-4) and the SR superiority over all rivals make this the most compelling multi-signal case in the field. Each-way alternative: Round The Table. Main danger: Round The Table — Round The Table (SR 97, 2/1) carries a featherweight 8-13 as a progressive three-year-old with a form line of 511 — two consecutive wins — and while distance and going are unproven, the light weight and upward trajectory make it the most dangerous rival to Be Patient's claim.
Full result
Winner: Race To The Stars (IRE) at SP 15/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Race To The Stars 9/4
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2
First Officer 7/1
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3
Be Patient Fox #1 3/1
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4
Astro King 16/1
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5
Round The Table Fox #2 15/8
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—
Tycoon Fox #3 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Be Patient 11/4 🥉 3RD
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2
Round The Table 2/1 5TH
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3
Tycoon 6/1