← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Quinnbet Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Dunkerque
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/10 SP 11/8F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Dunkerque (SR:131, 11/10) leads the field on ability by 3lb over Samuel Spade and 15lb over Krak, and his form string 1-1112 shows consistent front-running success at this class level — four places from five recent runs including back-to-back wins. Carrying 11-10 is heavy but in a 3-runner race the weight differential (4lb over Samuel Spade, 12lb over Krak) is manageable given the SR gap. Jennie Candlish at 14% paired with Sean Quinlan, who has strong festival form over fences, provides solid connections. The MarkMv:+3 is a mild concern but not prohibitive in a small field where the SR advantage is clear. Each-way alternative: Krak. Main danger: Krak — The Mkt:in14% steam in a 3-runner race is hard to ignore — Dan Skelton's 21% yard strike rate and Harry Skelton's 27% booking suggest inside confidence, and Krak's 12lb weight advantage over Dunkerque on good-to-firm ground could prove decisive if the favourite is not yet fully at ease over fences at this trip.
Full result
Winner: Dunkerque (DEN) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Dunkerque Fox #1 6/5
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2
Krak Fox #2 11/4
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Samuel Spade Fox #3 2/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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2
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3