← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Happy Birthday Sue Handicap Steeple Chase
Mr Fox’s call
Flashy Boy
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Flashy Boy (SR:79, 11/2) is the standout play on market intelligence alone — a 32% market move in from 11/2 opening price is a significant steamer in a 6-runner Class 5 field and demands attention. At 10-2, he carries a notable weight advantage over top-weight Glenmalure Flyer (12-0) and second-weight Yes And Yes (11-4), which at 3m3f on Good to Firm ground is a meaningful edge over the full trip. His form shows a win (P1P-45) and while the recent 4-5 finishes are modest, the market confidence suggests connections expect an improved showing, possibly as the course conditions or trip suit today. Trainer Robbie Llewellyn's runners without a headline strike rate are often ignored by punters, making the 32% move all the more significant as it reflects informed money rather than public drift. Each-way alternative: Glenmalure Flyer. Main danger: Glenmalure Flyer — Despite the 21% drift, Glenmalure Flyer holds the highest SR in the field at 89 with the Skelton yard's formidable trainer-jockey combination (21%/27% strike rates) and a drop in class — if he handles the weight, he is the most talented horse in the race.
Full result
Winner: Glenmalure Flyer (IRE) at SP 3/1J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Glenmalure Flyer Fox #2 7/2
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2
Illogical Logic Fox #4 6/1
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3
Flashy Boy Fox #1 5/1
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4
Winning Paddy 13/2
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5
The Kings Soldier 13/2
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Yes And Yes Fox #3 9/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4