← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Bet Lowther Stakes (Group 2)
Mr Fox’s call
Libertango
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Libertango (SR:120, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field, sitting 6 SR points clear of Wild Blossom (SR:114) and 16 clear of the next-best Star Of State (SR:98). The form string 1-1-2 confirms she has won twice at this level and her single defeat came stepping up from a winning base, not a collapse in form. DistFit:+ at 6f is a strong corroborating signal, and George Boughey (18% strike rate, 764 runners) is a trainer who places horses accurately at Group level. The market drift of 28% from opening is the one flag — it nudges the confidence to Medium rather than High — but no rival in the field carries a SR, form line, or market move that overturns the raw ability gap. Each-way alternative: Wild Blossom. Main danger: Wild Blossom — Wild Blossom (SR:114, 6/1) is K.R. Burke's preferred runner over stablemate Love A Giggle — James Doyle booking over Clifford Lee confirms this — she carries DistFit:+ at 6f, the market has shortened 16%, and her 1-0-1 form line shows she bounced back from defeat to win most recently, making her the most credible threat to Libertango's SR advantage.
Full result
Winner: Libertango (IRE) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Libertango Fox #1 10/3
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2
Star Of State Fox #3 9/4
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3
Jolivette 25/1
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4
Miss Kodi 12/1
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5
Sexy Chick 125/1
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6
Wild Blossom Fox #2 4/1
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7
Crownbreaker 22/1
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8
In The Black 22/1
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9
Ruby Moon 14/1
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10
Angels Passing 50/1
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11
Big Negotiator 33/1
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12
Bint Archange 66/1
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13
Crystal Queen 50/1
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14
Shimmering Sun 14/1
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15
Love A Giggle 66/1
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16
Desert Sands 250/1
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17
Alta Regina 28/1
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—
Livenka Fox #4 15/2
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—
Moonrise 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Libertango 9/4 SP 3/1 🏆 WON
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2
Wild Blossom 6/1 6TH
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3
Star Of State 5/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Livenka 8/1