← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sir Kevin Sinfield 7 In 7 Grand Finale Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap)
Mr Fox’s call
Centigrade
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Centigrade (SR:101, 11/4) leads the field on Saturday Rating and carries a manageable 9-6, giving him a meaningful weight edge over heavier rivals while still sitting near the top of the ability rankings. His form of 21/1 — two recent wins bookending a break — shows a progressive 4-year-old in strong condition, and the market has firmed 12% since opening, indicating stable confidence in his chance. Ralph Beckett (17% strike rate, 932 career runners) is a shrewd handler of horses stepping up in class, and Rossa Ryan at 16% career strike rate is a reliable booking for a live chance. The unknowns on DistFit and GoingFit are the honest caveat, but a progressive 4-year-old with the best SR in the field and positive market drift is the most convincing case in a wide-open heritage handicap. Each-way alternative: Mezcala. Main danger: Mezcala — Mezcala (SR:103, 17/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries only 9-2 — 4lb less than Centigrade — and has confirmed GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ on today's conditions, with William Buick in the saddle at 20% career strike rate; if his last-run 0 (10th) is excused by a rough trip rather than a form collapse, he is the one most likely to overhaul the selection.
Full result
Winner: The Lost King (GB) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
The Lost King Fox #3 7/1
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2
Bullet Point 13/2
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3
Spell Master 12/1
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4
Hawksbill 14/1
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5
Blue Brother Fox #4 13/2
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6
Centigrade Fox #1 9/4
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7
Eternal Force 11/1
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8
Arctic Dawn 33/1
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9
Mirsky 66/1
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10
Yorkshire 20/1
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11
The Angel King 25/1
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12
Cerulean Bay 12/1
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13
Nizam 20/1
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14
Checkandchallenge 18/1
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—
Point Lynas 14/1
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—
Mezcala Fox #2 17/2
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—
Aalto 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Centigrade 11/4 6TH
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2
Mezcala 17/2
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3
The Lost King 10/1 SP 7/1 🏆 WON
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4
Blue Brother 15/2 5TH