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Legends Global Yorkshire Oaks (Group 1)
Mr Fox’s call
Kalpana
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/10 SP 10/11F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Kalpana (SR:136) is the clear class leader in this field — 10 SR points clear of the next-best Johanna Walsh (SR:126) and 13 clear of Minnie Hauk (SR:123). She carries 9-9 and brings confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ credentials, meaning she has proven she handles this exact distance and going combination, a crucial advantage over the bulk of the 3yo rivals who are unproven at the trip (DistFit:?). The form string 71-121 shows a recent win and runner-up in top-level company, and Andrew Balding's 19% strike rate with Colin Keane (16%) is a solid booking. The MarkMv:+5 is a mild concern — she is technically on a higher mark than when she last won — but in a Group 1 with no official handicap ceiling, this is structural rather than prohibitive, and her SR advantage is commanding enough to absorb it. Each-way alternative: Johanna Walsh. Main danger: Johanna Walsh — Johanna Walsh (SR:126, 4/1) has shortened 8% in the market, is trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien with Dylan Browne McMonagle — a red-hot combination — and her form string 3-3121 shows progressive, consistent form culminating in a recent win, making her the most credible upside threat to Kalpana from the 3yo crop.
Full result
Winner: Kalpana at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kalpana Fox #1 SP 10/11F
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2
Sparan Nua 28/1
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3
Minnie Hauk Fox #3 4/1
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4
Earth Shot 20/1
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5
Tattycoram 18/1
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6
Johanna Walsh Fox #2 9/2
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7
Sugar Island 150/1
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8
Inis Mor 18/1
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9
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4