← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British Ebf Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Albaydaa
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Albaydaa (SR 95, 13/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) into this competitive Class 2 handicap, which is a meaningful advantage. Both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles today's 7f trip on good ground, and her form 1-3215 shows consistent competitiveness at a high level — the 5 last time out is the only blot but comes off the back of a sequence showing she fires near the top. William Haggas operates at 21% career strike rate with 1,078 runners, a powerful yard, and Tom Marquand (13%, 1,141 runners) is a solid booking. At 13/2 the market respects her without making her unbackable, offering fair value for the class drop + proven going and distance credentials. Each-way alternative: Caim. Main danger: Starlight Lass — Starlight Lass (SR 88, 11/4 favourite) carries only 8-8 — 2lb less than Albaydaa — and her unblemished form of 211 (stepping up two classes from a winning sequence) suggests a progressive 3yo still on the upgrade, trained by the powerful Gosden yard.
Full result
Winner: Machadadorp (GB) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Machadadorp 9/1
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2
Woohoo 14/1
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3
Oolong Poobong 11/1
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4
Cotai Belle 40/1
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5
Perfect Part 25/1
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6
Secret History 10/1
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7
Mubasimah 33/1
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8
Albaydaa Fox #1 8/1
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9
Caim Fox #3 7/1
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10
Figjam 40/1
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11
Tryst Fox #4 10/1
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12
Bellarchi 28/1
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13
Starfinch 66/1
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14
Starlight Lass Fox #2 3/1
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15
Bella Lyra 50/1
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16
Carnival Of Light 18/1
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17
Lam Yai 16/1
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18
Zooella 12/1
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19
Just Call Me Angel 40/1
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—
Royal Velvet 18/1
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—
Beaujolais Nouveau 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Albaydaa 13/2 8TH
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2
Starlight Lass 11/4 14TH
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3
Caim 9/1 9TH
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4
Tryst 8/1 11TH