← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Irish EBF Vinnie Roe Stakes (Listed)
Mr Fox’s call
Abbotsford
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Abbotsford (SR:102, 3/1) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field alongside Piazza San Marco, but crucially carries identical weight (9-7) to the Ballydoyle rival while boasting the strongest recent market support (Mkt:in8%) among the leading contenders. His form string of 8-21 reads right-to-left as: last run a win, penultimate a second, and an earlier blowout — a clear progressive arc. D K Weld's 12% stable strike rate is modest but Abbotsford's market move signals stable confidence. Piazza San Marco is the principal danger at the same SR and price, but 298 days off the track makes Abbotsford — fresher and sharpening — the call at this distance step into Listed company. Each-way alternative: Teologia. Main danger: Piazza San Marco — Piazza San Marco shares Abbotsford's SR:102 rating, carries the same 9-7, and has steamed in 11% in the market — suggesting Aidan O'Brien's yard is bullish about the return from a 298-day layoff, which could mean a freshness edge rather than a rustiness concern.
Full result
Winner: Highwayman (FR) at SP 22/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Highwayman 14/1
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2
Cannes 3/1
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3
Piazza San Marco Fox #2 4/1
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4
Wyman 11/2
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5
Teologia Fox #3 17/2
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6
Madbadanddangerous Fox #4 9/1
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7
Abbotsford Fox #1 10/3
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8
Keepsgettingbetter 20/1
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9
Trojan Fighter 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Abbotsford 3/1 7TH
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2
Piazza San Marco 4/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Teologia 11/1 5TH
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4
Madbadanddangerous 15/2 6TH