← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Ben Hur
MEDIUM Advised 5/2 SP 7/4F Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Ben Hur (SR:82, 5/2, 9-8) is the clear SR leader in this field by a meaningful margin over Darius Dark (SR:81) and carries a manageable weight. Crucially, the market has moved in his favour by 11%, the strongest inbound money in the race, suggesting stable confidence. Trainer Noel Meade hits at 13% career strike rate — well above the yard norm — and Adam Caffrey at 7% is competent at the level. The form string 47/7-3 reads modestly, but the seasonal break and now 22 days since last run suggests the horse is being freshened for this specific target, and the market move backs that narrative. DistFit:? and GoingFit:? are unknowns, but no negative flags exist on either front, and at 1m5f he has the scope as a 4-year-old to handle the trip. Each-way alternative: Lauderdale King. Main danger: Darius Dark — Darius Dark (SR:81, 7/1) has DistFit:+ and a recent form string showing three consecutive wins (-01110) before a likely stepping-up defeat, and trainer J P Murtagh strikes at 11% with Ben Coen at 12% — both strong connections that could outperform the drifting price if the mark rise (MarkMv:+8) is absorbed.
Full result
Winner: Ben Hur (IRE) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ben Hur Fox #1 9/4
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2
Cooley's Mist Fox #4 13/2
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3
Pavilion End 9/1
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4
Darius Dark Fox #2 6/1
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5
Lauderdale King Fox #3 9/2
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6
Gaelic Drills 16/1
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7
Celtic Druid 9/1
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8
Sea Coral 16/1
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9
Harry's Legacy 28/1
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10
Satono Chevalier 20/1
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11
Ehteyat 33/1
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—
Party Dress 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ben Hur 5/2 SP 7/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Darius Dark 7/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Lauderdale King 4/1 5TH
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4
Cooley's Mist 10/1 🥈 2ND