← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Ascona Ladies Chic Fashion Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Oviedo
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/6 SP 1/2F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Oviedo (SR 70, 4/6) is the clear class leader in this seven-runner Class 6 handicap, carrying a feather 9-3 — a meaningful weight advantage over the heavier-burdened rivals. The recent form string 00-991 shows a sharp last-time-out win and the horse is running off the same mark as that victory (MarkMv:=), giving connections no reason to think the handicapper has caught up. Course form of W1P1 at Ffos Las is a genuine positive on what is a specialist track where familiarity counts, and trainer Alexandra Dunn's 15% strike rate from a small but active string adds confidence. The one concern is GoingFit:- suggesting the good ground is not ideal, but the SR advantage of 8+ points over the next best (Kaleidoscope Eyes, SR 62) is too large to overlook at this level. Each-way alternative: Kaleidoscope Eyes. Main danger: Kaleidoscope Eyes — Kaleidoscope Eyes (SR 62, 13/2) boasts Course:W2P3 at Ffos Las — the strongest course record in the field — and jockey Robbie Downey's 17% career strike rate is elite for this level, making a bold show entirely plausible despite running 3lb higher than last win.
Full result
Winner: Oviedo (IRE) at SP 1/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Oviedo Fox #1 4/6
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2
Searchingtheblues 18/1
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3
Green Icon 22/1
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4
Cypriot Diaspora Fox #3 5/1
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5
Kaleidoscope Eyes Fox #2 13/2
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6
Ravenglass 12/1
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7
Sofian 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Oviedo 4/6 SP 1/2F 🏆 WON
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2
Kaleidoscope Eyes 13/2 5TH
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3
Cypriot Diaspora 5/1 🏁 4TH