← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Ascona Ladies In Lace Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Korbut
MEDIUM Advised 8/13 SP 8/13F Est. 58%
Mr Fox says
Korbut (SR 93, 8/13) holds a clear ability edge over both rivals — 10 SR points clear of Likeness and 15 clear of Reader — and crucially combines that with confirmed fitness and form fit: DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's 7f80y good-ground conditions, having run just 25 days ago. The consistent 252222 form string, while showing no recent win, demonstrates reliability and competitiveness at this level. Sir Mark Prescott (19% strike rate, 308 runners) is a trainer who targets maiden wins with precision, and Luke Morris (11%, 1,450 runners) is a trusted stable partner. The 8/13 price reflects legitimate market confidence that this is the correct horse. Each-way alternative: Likeness. Main danger: Likeness — Likeness has the next-best SR (83) and is a Channon runner with a 14% trainer strike rate — if the 138-day absence has masked significant improvement, it could close the gap on Korbut at a tempting 7/2.
Full result
Winner: Korbut (GB) at SP 8/13F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Korbut Fox #1 4/7
-
2
Likeness Fox #2 4/1
-
3
Reader Fox #3 7/2
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3