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Ascona Ladies Fashion And Style Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Diamond Ali
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Diamond Ali (SR:64, 7/2, 9-5) posts the highest SR in the field and carries a manageable weight, giving her a meaningful ability edge over the 12-runner field where the next-best rated horses (Willowinghurn SR:62, Gal SR:60) carry heavier burdens or face more adverse signals. Her form string 277-71 shows a recent win, and the MarkMv:+2 penalty is modest — connections clearly felt she was competitive enough to run off it. The Birkett yard strikes at 12% from a small but meaningful 60-runner sample, and William Carson (9%, 560 runners) is an experienced booking for a 7f80y handicap on good ground. The 74-day absence with cheekpieces fitted is a minor concern, but the overall package of top SR, fair weight, recent winning form, and a price that reflects some scepticism about the layoff makes this the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Follow My Heart. Main danger: Willowinghurn — Despite the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags, Willowinghurn's SR:62 and a MarkMv:-10 drop means she is running off a mark 10lb below her last win, which is a powerful handicapper's tool that could overcome the trip/ground concerns at 11/4.
Full result
Winner: Golden Mabel (GB) at SP 40/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Golden Mabel 25/1
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2
Arvana Belle 16/1
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3
Willowinghurn Fox #3 10/3
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4
Iconic Dawn 6/1
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5
Gal Fox #4 15/2
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6
Medyg 9/2
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7
Diamond Ali Fox #1 4/1
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8
Lady Fizz 22/1
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9
Cougar Force 14/1
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10
Independent Angel 40/1
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11
Kaiko 66/1
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—
Follow My Heart Fox #2 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Diamond Ali 7/2 7TH
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2
Follow My Heart 5/1
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3
Willowinghurn 11/4 🥉 3RD
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4
Gal 17/2 5TH