← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Ascona Fabulous Ladies Classified Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Gert Lush
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Gert Lush (SR:61, 7/2) shares the field's joint-highest SR with Charencey and Typeface but carries material advantages over both rivals. Unlike Charencey (GoingFit:-, DistFit:-, drifted 18%), Gert Lush has a moderate distance fit (DistFit:~) and a moderate going fit (GoingFit:~) on today's good ground — a meaningful edge in a field where most runners show GoingFit:-. The form string /72832 shows a latest run of 2nd and a prior 2nd, indicating consistent competitiveness at this class level, while Jockey Gina Mangan (10%, 479) is solid. Course:W0P2 at Ffos Las adds further familiarity with the track, and at 7/2 the price is fair without being overburdened by market pressure. Each-way alternative: Typeface. Main danger: Typeface — Typeface (SR:61, 7/2) matches Gert Lush on SR, has the field's only GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, holds an excellent Course:W2P3 record at Ffos Las, and has shortened 7% in the market — the Ian Williams yard's clear #1 runner over stablemate Charencey who has drifted badly.
Full result
Winner: City Escape (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
City Escape 14/1
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2
Gert Lush Fox #1 11/4
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3
Charencey Fox #3 11/4
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4
King Of The Dance 16/1
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5
Prophet Squeeze 50/1
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6
Elora Prince 7/1
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7
Lapidarist Fox #4 6/1
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8
A Rose Adaay 9/1
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9
Racing Demon 13/2
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10
Strong Man Tom 100/1
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—
Typeface Fox #2 7/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Gert Lush 7/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Typeface 7/2
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3
Charencey 9/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Lapidarist 6/1 7TH