← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Acrisure Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Canon's House
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Canon's House (SR:81, 13/2) combines the strongest cluster of positive signals in this field. The market has shortened 13% since opening — meaningful in a 13-runner handicap — and the horse brings Course:W1P1 at Hamilton plus a MarkMv:-2 advantage, running off a mark 2lb lower than at last win. Weight of 9-8 sits comfortably in the mid-range of the field, avoiding the burden of the top-weights. The trainer/jockey combo (Easterby/Mason, 11% strike rate over 647 rides) is workmanlike but reliable, and a ClassMv:↓1 drop brings a softer assignment. The form string 250634 shows consistency without a big win lately, but conditions — Good to Soft at Hamilton over 5f, dropping in class, dropping in mark — are set up for a career-best effort. Each-way alternative: Jordan Electrics. Main danger: Jordan Electrics — Jordan Electrics (SR:86, the field's joint-highest rating) is a Hamilton specialist with Course:W9P18 — an extraordinary course record — and last-time-out form figure of 1, making it the most proven course performer by a wide margin despite GoingFit:- and a MarkMv:+4 penalty.
Full result
Winner: Eternal Sunshine (GB) at SP 100/30F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Eternal Sunshine Fox #4 7/2
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2
Advertised 15/2
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3
Jordan Electrics Fox #2 6/1
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4
Sir Yoshi 12/1
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5
Vantheman Fox #3 9/2
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6
Oriental Prince 14/1
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7
Canon's House Fox #1 4/1
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8
Parisiac 12/1
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9
Justmyluck 100/1
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10
Sturlasson 17/2
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11
Germanic 22/1
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Tatterstall -
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Stargazed -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Canon's House 13/2 7TH
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2
Jordan Electrics 11/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Vantheman 5/1 5TH
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4
Eternal Sunshine 4/1 SP 100/30F 🏆 WON