← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Patersons Of Greenoakhill Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Sir Garfield
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Sir Garfield (SR 82, 10/3) is the clear class leader in this field by a meaningful margin — an SR of 82 versus the next-best Wreck It Ryley at 76 — and critically holds Course:W2P3, making him a proven Hamilton specialist at this 6f6y trip. His last two completed runs show back-to-back wins (form -11682, rightmost = last, so recent finishes are 2, 8, 1, 1 reading right-to-left, indicating two wins prior to the last two outings), and John & Sean Quinn's 11% strike rate with David Nolan in the plate (10%, 727 career rides) is a solid booking. The blinkers are retained from prior runs and GoingFit:~ is a mild concern on good-to-soft, but his course superiority and class edge outweigh that reservation at a workable 10/3. Each-way alternative: Wreck It Ryley. Main danger: Ashen — Ashen (SR 74, 9/2) has steamed in 27% in the market, carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-2 giving it a 11lb pull on Sir Garfield, and Jim Goldie's 13% yard strike rate combined with a young 4-year-old on a progressive profile (form 134202 shows a recent second) makes it the most likely improver in the field.
Full result
Winner: Hunky Dory (GB) at SP 22/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hunky Dory 20/1
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2
Belsito 7/1
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3
Jannas Journey Fox #4 10/1
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4
Abduction 17/2
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5
Ashen Fox #3 7/2
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6
Whiskey Kisses 28/1
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7
Wreck It Ryley Fox #2 9/2
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8
Sir Garfield Fox #1 10/3
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9
Shoot To Kill 12/1
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10
Lipsink 22/1
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11
Stirrup Cup 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sir Garfield 10/3 8TH
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2
Wreck It Ryley 4/1 7TH
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3
Ashen 9/2 5TH
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4
Jannas Journey 16/1 🥉 3RD