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Hemmings Homes 10th Anniversary Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Tanjen
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Tanjen (SR:69, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and combines that ability advantage with course form (W1P1 at Hamilton), a market that has shortened 12% since opening, and a same-mark return meaning no weight penalty for recent success. The Tim Easterby/David Allan combination posts an 11% jockey strike rate across 906 rides — a reliable booking — and the recent 597751 form string shows a last-time-out win that is the most relevant piece of recent evidence. Weight at 9-9 is very manageable for the field's best SR, giving a clear lbs edge over the top two weights. The GoingFit is unknown rather than negative, so there is no hard evidence the Good to Soft surface will be a problem. Each-way alternative: Harb. Main danger: Harb — Harb (SR:65, 7/2) has steamed in 33% since opening — the most dramatic market move in the race — carries a light 9-9, holds a MarkMv:-2 advantage, and trainer Tristan Davidson runs at an 18% strike rate from 133 runners, making this the most professionally backed challenger to Tanjen.
Full result
Winner: Thistle Nil (IRE) at SP 40/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Thistle Nil 50/1
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2
Harb Fox #3 7/2
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3
Tanjen Fox #1 9/4
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4
Supremissy 14/1
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5
Doon The Glen 17/2
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6
Never Dark 7/1
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7
Kyber Crystal 33/1
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8
Impressor Fox #4 11/2
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9
Falcon Queen 22/1
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10
King Of The Jungle Fox #2 13/2
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Jm Jhingree 25/1
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Hi Lord 11/2
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Startling -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Tanjen 5/2 🥉 3RD
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2
King Of The Jungle 11/2 10TH
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3
Harb 7/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Impressor 11/2 8TH