← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Racing TV Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Shallow
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Shallow (SR:83, 10/3) carries the joint-lightest weight among the leading contenders at 9-7 and is the only runner showing a confirmed market move inward of 10% — money is coming for this horse. The visor application (HG:v) signals connections are serious about getting a performance today, and the GoingFit:~ on good-to-firm is the best ground profile of any horse in the shortlist outside Adalida. The ClassMv:↓1 drop means this is an easier task than last time, and Course:W0P2 shows familiarity with Newmarket July course without the handicapper having crushed her at this track. While her recent form string 332920 includes a poor run, the 10% market move into 10/3 from what would have opened around 19/4 suggests connections see today's conditions — class drop, visor, weight — aligning in her favour. Each-way alternative: Zighy. Main danger: Zighy — Zighy (SR:86, the field's highest rating) is proven at 6f (DistFit:+) under a top jockey booking in Billy Loughnane (19% career strike rate from 1,761 runners), and while the 27% drift is a concern, George Boughey's 18% strike rate means this yard doesn't run horses to lose — if the drift reflects a market overreaction to the layoff of 53 days rather than a genuine negative, Zighy's raw SR advantage could be decisive.
Full result
Winner: Angel Shared (GB) at SP 11/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Angel Shared 10/3
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2
Shallow Fox #1 10/3
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3
Zighy Fox #2 4/1
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4
Elara May 14/1
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5
Adalida Fox #4 14/1
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6
Bright Summer 11/1
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7
Powdering Fox #3 4/1
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8
Seeing Stars 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Shallow 10/3 🥈 2ND
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2
Zighy 7/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Powdering 11/2 7TH
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4
Adalida 10/1 5TH