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Racing TV Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Fanciulla Del West
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Fanciulla Del West (SR 80, 5/2, 9-9) is the highest-rated runner in this modest Class 5 field and carries a workable weight. Ed Walker's 15% career strike rate is the strongest trainer figure on the card, and the 14% market move inward signals professional confidence behind the scenes. The form line of 43-220 shows consistent competitiveness — the two recent seconds suggest she's knocking on the door — and while the distance (DistFit:?) is unproven, a mile-and-two-furlongs suits a 3yo filly who has shown stamina in her pattern. Her SR 80 is a clear 5lb+ edge over every rival in this thin field. Each-way alternative: Emma's Letter. Main danger: Emma's Letter — Emma's Letter (SR 75, 4/1) has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's Good to Firm ground, Billy Loughnane booked at a strong 19% career strike rate, and the 4-1 form finish last time out shows she's in decent nick — the market drift of 31% is puzzling but may simply reflect first-time blinkers uncertainty rather than a genuine form concern.
Full result
Winner: Emma's Letter (GB) at SP 11/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Emma's Letter Fox #2 9/2
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2
Liberate Fox #3 5/2
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3
Miss Guinevere 13/2
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4
Port Darwin 4/1
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5
Fanciulla Del West Fox #1 9/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3