← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
End Of Summer Season Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Rizal
SPECULATIVE Advised 8/15 Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Rizal (SR:92, 8/15) is the class leader in a small four-runner field with a recent form line of 26-311 — three consecutive wins culminating in a last-time-out victory just 35 days ago. The market has shortened 11% since opening, confirming stable confidence, and Billy Loughnane (19% career strike rate) aboard a George Scott-trained improver is a strong booking. While MarkMv:+5 means he runs off a 5lb higher mark, his SR of 92 is a clear 2-10lb edge over every rival, and at 10-3 he still carries a manageable weight for this class. The unknowns on distance and going (both flagged as '?') are the only caveats, but his class advantage in a field of four overrides them. Each-way alternative: Parisian Scholar. Main danger: Parisian Scholar — Parisian Scholar (SR:90) drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), handles this going well (GoingFit:+), and carries the lightest weight of the older competitors at 9-6, giving him a real pounds advantage if Rizal's unproven trip and going combination catches up with him.
Full result
Winner: Zurna (GB) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Zurna 7/2
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2
Parisian Scholar Fox #2 9/2
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3
Patrol Fox #3 13/2
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4
Rizal Fox #1 5/6
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rizal 8/15 🏁 4TH
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2
Parisian Scholar 7/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Patrol 6/1 🥉 3RD