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Signs In Motion British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

19:27 Salisbury Fri 21 Aug 2026 1m1f201y Class 3 Good to Firm 5 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Bintward silks

Bintward

HIGH Advised 1/12 SP 1/18F Est. 72%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Bintward (SR 158, 1/12) is in a completely different class to this field — a 7-point SR gap over the next-best Golden Island (SR 151) and a 34-38 point chasm over the rest. The 1/12 market price reflects genuine dominance: connections at Roger Varian's yard (20% strike rate, 661 runners) with Ray Dawson aboard are not sending this horse out lightly. Despite the class step up (ClassMv:↑1), the SR at 158 sits comfortably in top-class territory and the opposition simply cannot compete at these ratings. The only live unknowns — DistFit:? and GoingFit:? — are offset by the SR being so far superior that distance or going nuances are unlikely to matter at this level. Each-way alternative: Golden Island. Main danger: Golden Island — Golden Island (SR 151, 6/1) is the only runner with a credible SR — 7 points below Bintward but 27+ above the rest — and runs off the lightest weight (9-0), giving her a 7lb pull on Bintward, which is the one scenario where a shock could unfold if Bintward encounters any unexpected issue.

Verify· #13594

Full result

Winner: Bintward (GB) at SP 1/18F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Bintward silks Bintward Fox #1 Roger Varian · Ray Dawson 1/10
  2. 2 Golden Island silks Golden Island Fox #2 Heather Main · Jack Mitchell 11/2
  3. 3 Herstmonceux silks Herstmonceux William Muir & Chris Grassick · Lewis Edmunds 50/1
  4. 4 Stopherandgo silks Stopherandgo David Flood · Sean Levey 100/1
  5. 5 That's All Folks silks That's All Folks Jeff Mullins · Taylor Fisher 125/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Bintward silks Bintward 1/12 SP 1/18F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Golden Island silks Golden Island 6/1 🥈 2ND