Coolmore City Of Troy Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1)

15:35 York Fri 21 Aug 2026 0m5f0y Class 1 Good to Soft 18 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Bacio

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 SP 3/1F Est. 30%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Bacio (SR:111, 11/4) is the clear class leader in this field by SR margin, carrying 9-13 and boasting a dominant recent form line of 121-11 — two wins on the bounce coming into a Group 1 sprint. The market has shortened 14% since opening, reflecting genuine confidence from connections, and the weight (9-13) is lenient against the older rivals. Stepping up in class (ClassMv:↑1) is the one caveat, but the SR of 111 is a full 4 points clear of the next-best Mission Central (SR:105), and Wesley Ward's runners at Royal Ascot and beyond have shown American sprinters can travel and deliver on the big day. The going (Good to Soft) is an unknown (GoingFit:?), but at 11/4 the SR edge and market confidence combine to make Bacio the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Pershaada. Main danger: Mission Central — Mission Central (SR:105, 8/1) carries Ryan Moore, is proven at the distance (DistFit:+), has shortened 6% in the market, and the Aidan O'Brien yard runs at 22% — a recent form line of 0-1117 showing three consecutive wins before a last-run seventh that may simply represent a step too far at the time, now dropping back to a trip he has won over.

Verify· #13479

Full result

Winner: Bacio at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.