← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Novice Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
La Cote Fleurie
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 100/30 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
La Cote Fleurie (SR:128, 5/2) carries the lightest weight in the competitive group at 11-5, giving her a meaningful lbs edge over Magico (11-12), Rosie's Wings (11-12), and Mino Des Mottes (11-9). Her form of 1-31 — a win followed by a third and a win — is the most consistent recent novice profile in the field, and De Bromhead (14% strike rate, 1047 runners) with Darragh O'Keeffe (14%, 900 runners) is a polished pairing for a race of this calibre. Though she has 85 days off the track, De Bromhead routinely produces horses fit first-time-back at this level, and the 5/2 price reflects market respect without being prohibitively short. Each-way alternative: Mino Des Mottes. Main danger: Mino Des Mottes — Mino Des Mottes (SR:127, 3/1) carries 11-9 — 4lb less than most rivals — has a recent win on her form line (202-12), Jack Kennedy in the saddle at 19% career strike rate, and Gordon Elliott (15%, 1739 runners) is exactly the yard to have a progressive 4-year-old ready for a step up in trip.
Full result
Winner: La Cote Fleurie (FR) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
La Cote Fleurie Fox #1 11/4
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2
Mino Des Mottes Fox #2 10/3
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3
Rosie's Wings Fox #3 5/2
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4
Facile Ocean 6/1
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5
Eaglewood 80/1
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6
Magico Fox #4 15/2
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7
Lakewood Rose 28/1
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8
No Mon No Fun 18/1
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—
Katie Can't Count 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
La Cote Fleurie 5/2 SP 100/30 🏆 WON
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2
Mino Des Mottes 3/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Rosie's Wings 3/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Magico 13/2 6TH