Belvedere House & Gardens Handicap Steeplechase

19:35 Kilbeggan Fri 21 Aug 2026 3m1f180y Good 9 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Scalpnagoon

SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 26%

5TH

Mr Fox says

Scalpnagoon (SR 104, 6/1) is the most compelling combination of signals in this modest field. Trained by Gordon Elliott (15% strike rate, 1,739 runners — the dominant yard in Irish NH racing) and ridden by Jack Kennedy (19% strike rate, 621 runners), this is comfortably the strongest connections pairing in the race. The horse carries 11-5 — 7lb lighter than top-weight Charlie Luciano — which is a meaningful advantage over 3m1f. GoingFit:+ confirms comfort on today's good ground, and a recent form line of 223423 shows genuine consistency without winning; at 6/1 the market hasn't fully priced in the Elliott/Kennedy combination firing at a €12,000 handicap chase at Kilbeggan. The tongue-tie (HG:t) suggests connections are trying something specific to unlock a win. Each-way alternative: Ad Caelum. Main danger: Charlie Luciano — Charlie Luciano (SR 105, 4/1) has course form (W1P1 at Kilbeggan), GoingFit:+, and Noel Meade is a capable handler — despite the drift and top-weight burden of 11-12, the course specialisation on confirmed good ground is a genuine threat.

Verify· #13596

Full result

Winner: A Wave Of The Sea (IRE) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 A Wave Of The Sea J P Broderick · Charlie O'Dwyer(3) 17/2
2 Charlie Luciano Fox #2 Noel Meade · Mr D McGill(7) 4/1
3 Granville Street Ciaran Murphy · Eoin Walsh 11/1
4 The Dara Man John Patrick Ryan · Daniel King 22/1
5 Scalpnagoon Fox #1 Gordon Elliott · Jack Kennedy 11/2
6 Koori Star Peter Fahey · Danny Gilligan 7/2
7 Ira Hayes John C McConnell · Michael Kenneally(5) 5/1
— Ceanndana Fox #4 Ross O'Sullivan · Keith Donoghue 10/1
— Ad Caelum Fox #3 John Patrick Ryan · J J Slevin 7/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Scalpnagoon 6/1 5TH
2 Charlie Luciano 4/1 🥈 2ND
3 Ad Caelum 6/1
4 Ceanndana 13/2