← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
John Thomas McNamara Series Flat Race
Mr Fox’s call
Hill Silver
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 SP 6/5F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Hill Silver (SR:90, 15/8) holds the second-highest SR in the field and is one of only two horses in a genuinely competitive ability range. Carrying 11-11 gives a 3lb weight advantage over the heavier-weighted older rivals at 12-0, and at 4 years old offers the most upside in a bumper-style flat race where younger, less exposed horses tend to progress. The 15/8 price reflects market confidence, and with consistent placed form (44) it has not disgraced itself. While DistFit and GoingFit data are absent for all runners — a universal blank across the field — there is no specific evidence of a trip or ground concern to discount it. Each-way alternative: Baymount. Main danger: Baymount — Baymount holds the field's highest SR (91) and despite a patchy recent form string (8P-P3) showed a latest run of '3' suggesting some return to form; Anthony Mullins' yard at 7% strike rate from 68 runners is respectable and the 11-7 weight is the lightest in the field, giving a meaningful lbs advantage over Hill Silver.
Full result
Winner: Hill Silver (IRE) at SP 6/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hill Silver Fox #1 11/8
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2
Bellahill Fox #3 9/2
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3
In Around Thehouse 16/1
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4
Baymount Fox #2 5/2
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5
Long Story 22/1
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6
Reafadda 22/1
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7
Lone Ash Lad 16/1
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8
Ddakji 8/1
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9
Blackwood Joe 200/1
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10
A Quest For Cognac 40/1
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11
No Brainer 100/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Hill Silver 15/8 SP 6/5F 🏆 WON
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2
Baymount 11/4 🏁 4TH
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3
Bellahill 7/1 🥈 2ND