← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Kellihers Toyota Kingdom Gold Cup Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Eagle Fang
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Eagle Fang (SR 96, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 5 points above the next cluster of SR 91 runners — and carries only 9-10, giving him a meaningful weight advantage over any SR peer. His GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, and a Mkt:in9% move shows money coming for him with no obvious public reason to steam, which adds credibility. The visor (HG:v) is a positive intervention signal suggesting connections are expecting improvement, and trainer William Durkan's 14% strike rate with a modest but respectable sample (125 runners) is solid. The DistFit:? is a mild concern over 1m6f80y, but the form figure of '4' last time out (beaten third-to-last run, placed) and a steady recent profile (3/214) indicates a consistent, progressing horse rather than a flashy one-run wonder. Each-way alternative: Sir Jeremy. Main danger: Immutable — Immutable (SR 86, 11/2) is the joint second-shortest price in the race, carries only 9-4 (lightest of the serious contenders), and recent form of 35-922 shows consistent placing — two seconds last two runs — suggesting a horse right at the top of its form curve that could finally convert.
Full result
Winner: Gaoth Chuil (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Gaoth Chuil 16/1
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2
Light Up The Dark 6/1
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3
Factual Fact Fox #3 13/2
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4
Chutzpal 8/1
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5
Sir Jeremy Fox #4 15/2
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6
War Rooms 7/1
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7
Royal Hollow 22/1
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8
Eagle Fang Fox #1 3/1
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9
The Real Screamer 16/1
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10
Luker's Tipple 11/2
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Taipan 14/1
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Granite Bay 7/1
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Immutable Fox #2 SP
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Eagle Fang 5/1 8TH
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2
Immutable 11/2
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3
Factual Fact 10/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Sir Jeremy 9/1 5TH