← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Powells Jewellery EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Bated Benevolence
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Bated Benevolence (SR 100, 7/4) is the clear ability leader in this field and the market's dramatic 23% inward move confirms strong professional support. Her form of 1-0-1 shows a win sandwiched around a blip, and at this trip DistFit:+ confirms she handles 6f-plus — the only runner with a proven distance profile. While stepping up two class tiers (ClassMv:↑2) and running off a mark 12lb higher than her last win are flags, in a Class 2 fillies' conditions race at this level, the SR gap over her nearest rivals (97 for Kentucky Rain, 96 for Nicely) is meaningful. Marco Botti and Marco Ghiani are a confident combination with solid strike rates, and a market that has shortened this hard rarely moves for nothing. Each-way alternative: Kentucky Rain. Main danger: Kentucky Rain — Kentucky Rain (SR 97, 11/4) has shortened 14% in the market, sits only 3 SR points behind the selection, and her form figure of '4' last time out (after a '1') suggests a horse that may be returning to form on a track where tight turns at Chester could suit a sharp type.
Full result
Winner: Nicely (IRE) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Nicely Fox #3 4/1
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2
Bated Benevolence Fox #1 2/1
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3
Takaaful 9/2
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4
Kentucky Rain Fox #2 11/4
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5
Jazz Queen 50/1
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6
Gladys Pugh 16/1
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7
The Can Can Queen 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3