← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Kore Systems Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Alfa Duplicate
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Alfa Duplicate (SR:84, 2/1) carries the joint-highest SR in the field at just 9-6, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over the field-topper U S S Charleston (SR:80, 9-9). Billy Loughnane is one of the most productive jockeys in Britain (19% strike rate from 1,767 rides) and the market has shortened 6% since opening — quiet but purposeful support. Stepping up one class is a concern, but the course place on record (W0P1) shows it handles Chester's tight track, and its most recent form figure of '2' (second) represents its best recent effort. Hanney Girl is the clear danger given a stronger market move (in 22%) and proven going fitness on today's Good to Soft, but carries 9-4 versus Alfa Duplicate's 9-6 — only a 2lb swing — and is stepping up in class on a mark 3lb higher than last win, which adds risk. Each-way alternative: Hanney Girl. Main danger: Hanney Girl — Hanney Girl has the strongest market move in the field (in 22%), a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's Good to Soft ground, and holds a course place on record — the going fitness edge over Alfa Duplicate (GoingFit:?) is a genuine differentiator that could prove decisive.
Full result
Winner: Henrythenate (GB) at SP 22/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Henrythenate 16/1
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2
Big Fun 28/1
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3
U S S Charleston Fox #3 9/4
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4
Hanney Girl Fox #2 5/2
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5
Dragon Spin 18/1
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6
Alfa Duplicate Fox #1 7/4
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—
Kanishka 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Alfa Duplicate 2/1 6TH
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2
Hanney Girl 5/2 🏁 4TH
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3
U S S Charleston 5/2 🥉 3RD