← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Powells Jewellery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Fortification
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Fortification (SR:96, 7/2) shares the top SR in the field with Station X but carries a far more favourable weight of 9-3 versus Station X's 9-5, and crucially the market has steamed in 50% — the most aggressive support in the race — suggesting informed confidence. The class drop (↓1) is a positive, and at only 7 days since last run the trainer Brian Ellison clearly feels the horse is cherry-ripe. Although MarkMv:+7 is a concern, the weight concession to Roman Dragon (who carries 10-0) is significant and Fortification's SR superiority at the lighter weight compensates. Station X is the clear danger, boasting a proven DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ combination that Fortification lacks, along with a course win, but the 50% steam on Fortification is too strong a signal to ignore. Each-way alternative: Station X. Main danger: Station X — Station X (SR:96, 15/2) is the only runner combining DistFit:+, GoingFit:+, and a course win at this track — conditions tailor-made for it, and its recent form 316413 shows a last-time win at class level.
Full result
Winner: Station X (GB) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Station X Fox #2 11/2
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2
American Style 15/2
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3
Brighton Boy Fox #4 7/2
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4
Fortification Fox #1 7/2
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5
Supreme King 12/1
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6
Postmodern 22/1
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7
Roman Dragon Fox #3 10/3
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8
Coachello 50/1
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9
Westport 15/2
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10
Stanley Spencer 50/1
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11
Reciprocated 33/1
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—
Tricky Tel 14/1
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Rosenpur 8/1
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Cherry Baker -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Fortification 7/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Station X 15/2 SP 6/1 🏆 WON
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3
Roman Dragon 3/1 7TH
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4
Brighton Boy 5/1 🥉 3RD