← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
North Downs Hospital Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Crazy Plan
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Crazy Plan (SR:62, 13/8) shares the top SR in the field with Lady Of Clover but carries only 2lb more at 9-9 — a manageable impost at this class level. The market has shortened 11% since opening, signalling money on, and at Class 6 with a field of modest ability, the betting market's confidence in a 3yo with an improving profile is hard to ignore. The GoingFit:- flag is the main concern, but Lingfield AW's Polytrack plays differently to turf good ground and the horse's recent 11-day turnaround suggests connections are happy with its condition. Dan Horsford's 16% strike rate from a small yard of 50 runners is genuinely respectable and points to a tight, confident operation. Each-way alternative: Lady Of Clover. Main danger: Lady Of Clover — Lady Of Clover (SR:62, 10/3) matches Crazy Plan on ability, has the most consistent recent form string in the field (363143) with a place in every run, and George Scott's 18% yard strike rate is the strongest of any trainer represented — the 18% drift likely reflects the hood fitting rather than any real doubt about her chance.
Full result
Winner: Lady Of Clover (IRE) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Lady Of Clover Fox #2 10/3
-
2
Crazy Plan Fox #1 13/8
-
3
Cormorant Rock 20/1
-
4
Notable Charm 18/1
-
5
Pepper Fizz Fox #3 10/1
-
6
Dijon Gone 6/1
-
7
Angel Breeze 18/1
-
8
Amalou Fox #4 13/2
-
9
Turton 40/1
-
—
Naranka -
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Crazy Plan 13/8 🥈 2ND
-
2
Lady Of Clover 10/3 SP 2/1F 🏆 WON
-
3
Pepper Fizz 9/1 5TH
-
4
Amalou 13/2 8TH