← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Twyford Down Cutting Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Rajaking
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Rajaking (SR:89, 4/1) edges out on ability in this field and combines the strongest multi-signal case: joint-highest SR alongside Spring Bloom and Pilu, but uniquely confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ for today's 6f on good-to-firm, while the market has steamed 19% — the money is clearly engaged. Tongue-tie (HG:t) is already worn, so no first-time headgear risk, and his recent form 7-6431 shows a clear upward trajectory into last time's win. Trainer T J Kent runs at 14% strike rate from 56 runners, a strong small-yard number, and the 29-day gap is fresh without staleness. The MarkMv:+5 above last win mark is the main caution, but at 9-10 he's not burdened by weight, giving him a 2lb pull on Pilu and 9lb on Spring Bloom in the handicap. Each-way alternative: Spring Bloom. Main danger: Pilu — Pilu (SR:88, 9/4) has steamed 25% in the market, is dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1), and carries 9-12 — same as Rajaking — so the only question is whether the moderate GoingFit:~ at good-to-firm blunts what the market clearly believes is a progressive 3-year-old coming good.
Full result
Winner: Pilu (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pilu Fox #2 5/2
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2
Sword 9/1
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3
Rajaking Fox #1 10/3
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4
Spring Bloom Fox #3 11/2
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5
Fifty Nifty 11/1
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6
Juan Les Pins 28/1
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7
Royal Accord 80/1
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8
Expert Agent 20/1
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9
Zoulu Chief 33/1
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10
Back To Me 22/1
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11
Sea Cookie 14/1
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12
Archduke Ferdinand Fox #4 8/1
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13
Photosynthesis 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rajaking 4/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Pilu 9/4 SP 4/1 🏆 WON
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3
Spring Bloom 11/2 🏁 4TH
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4
Archduke Ferdinand 15/2 12TH