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Happy 80th Birthday John Lane Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase
Mr Fox’s call
My Girl Katie
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 SP 15/8F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
My Girl Katie (SR:99, 2/1) is the class leader in this six-runner Class 5 conditional jockeys' chase and arrives on a red-hot form line of 1213-1 — a last-time-out winner running off the same class mark. Critically, she is proven at today's exact distance (DistFit:+) AND on today's going (GoingFit:+), and her course record of W2P4 at Newton Abbot makes her a genuine specialist here. At 11-4 she enjoys a clear weight advantage over top-weight Sir Carnegie (12-0) and Great d'Ange (11-12), meaning she combines the highest SR with a favourable burden. The Grace Harris yard runs at 10% strike rate across a healthy sample (437 runners), giving confidence this is a genuine, fit raider rather than a speculative entry. Each-way alternative: Limerick Leader. Main danger: Honey I'm Good — Honey I'm Good has steamed in 19% in the market — matching Hardy Buck's move but from a more plausible SR base of 89 — and Rian Corcoran's 19% conditional strike rate is the best jockey booking in the race, giving this drifter a live chance if the money is informed rather than opportunistic.
Full result
Winner: My Girl Katie (IRE) at SP 15/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
My Girl Katie Fox #1 13/8
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2
Hardy Buck 9/1
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3
Honey I'm Good Fox #2 11/2
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4
Limerick Leader Fox #3 6/1
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5
Sir Carnegie Fox #4 9/2
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6
Great d'Ange 11/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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2
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3
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4