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Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Mighty Quiet
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Mighty Quiet (SR 77, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 3lb above Fille Imbassee (SR 74) and 7lb above Mudita (SR 70) — and crucially carries only 9-13, which is not a prohibitive burden in a Class 5 handicap. The market has sharpened 12% from opening, signalling stable confidence, and the tongue-tie application (HG:t) suggests connections believe they can unlock more from a horse that ran off the same mark last time (MarkMv:=) and has both distance and going rated moderate rather than poor — meaning no confirmed negative flags. Harry Charlton runs at a solid 17% strike rate, and though Lewis Edmunds is a 11% jockey, the market move overrides the modest booking. The 69-day absence is the main reservation, but the stable support argues the horse is ready. Each-way alternative: Fille Imbassee. Main danger: Mudita — Mudita (SR 70, 15/2) has a confirmed positive going record (GoingFit:+), is dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1), carries the joint-lightest weight in the field at 9-7, and has been backed 10% in the market — the combination of going suitability and weight advantage makes her the most credible threat to Mighty Quiet.
Full result
Winner: Woodleigh (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Woodleigh 6/1
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2
Fille Imbassee Fox #2 11/2
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3
Bay Dream Believer 17/2
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4
Mudita Fox #3 11/2
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5
Poppeye 7/2
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6
Kartini 66/1
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7
Eve's Boy 10/1
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8
Sogniamo 20/1
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9
Mighty Quiet Fox #1 7/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3