← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Always Blue
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Always Blue (SR 79, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field, sitting 7lb clear of the next best Yafaarr (SR 72) and carrying a manageable 9-9. The GoingFit:+ confirms this 3-year-old handles today's good ground well, and a market move of in8% shows quiet but meaningful support — enough to suggest connections are confident without screaming of a gamble. The 2543 form line shows consistent proximity in similar-class races, and trainer Harriet Bethell's 16% strike rate from just 85 runners marks a compact, focused yard that doesn't fire runners without intent. The class is identical (ClassMv:=) so no adjustment penalty applies. The main reservation is DistFit:? — insufficient data at 1m2f — but the 3-year-old profile and progressive form pattern suggest the step up in trip should suit. Each-way alternative: Yafaarr. Main danger: Chesneys Charm — Chesneys Charm has steamed into 6/1 from a morning price implied by a 45% market move — the strongest market support in the field — and the class drop (ClassMv:↓1) gives it the best competitive context it has faced in recent starts, making it a live threat if the support is informed.
Full result
Winner: Cosmos Raj (GB) at SP 20/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Cosmos Raj 20/1
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2
Sweet Kiss Fox #4 9/2
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3
Chesneys Charm Fox #3 13/2
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4
Always Blue Fox #1 9/4
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5
Boubyan 12/1
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6
Yafaarr Fox #2 6/1
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7
Ceinture d'Orion 5/1
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8
Whiskey Pete 10/1
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—
Adiada 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Always Blue 9/4 🏁 4TH
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2
Yafaarr 11/2 6TH
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3
Chesneys Charm 6/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Sweet Kiss 6/1 🥈 2ND