← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Farandaway
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Farandaway (SR:80, 4/1) is clearly the highest-rated horse in the field by a meaningful margin — 5lb+ clear of the next-best cluster — and carries 9-13 at Class 5 over 5f217y, a manageable burden at the top of the weights. The market has spoken emphatically with a 27% inward move from opening price, the strongest sustained support in the field. Form reading 212126 shows consistent placing and a recent win, with only one poor run to note, and GoingFit:? on good ground is the one uncertainty, though the absence of a negative (GoingFit:-) means there is no proven incompatibility. Grant Tuer is a modest yard (13%) but this is a Class 5 sprint handicap where SR dominance and market steam carry more weight than trainer profile. Each-way alternative: Irish Nectar. Main danger: Irish Nectar — Irish Nectar (SR:75, 4/1) has steamed 30% into the market — the most aggressive support in the field — and has first-time blinkers applied, which in Class 5 sprint handicaps with a yard strike rate of 14% often triggers a significant performance uplift; despite DistFit:- and GoingFit:- the market clearly believes the headgear change is transformative.
Full result
Winner: Come On Over (IRE) at SP 25/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Come On Over 16/1
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2
Farandaway Fox #1 5/2
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3
Bonnie's Boy 7/2
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4
Irish Nectar Fox #2 7/2
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5
Men Of Honour 12/1
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6
Rotokura Belle Fox #3 15/2
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7
Marajito 12/1
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8
Magistery 100/1
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Cairdeas 17/2
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Speeding Bullet 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Farandaway 4/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Irish Nectar 4/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Rotokura Belle 13/2 6TH