← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Celebrate National Racehorse Week Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Ellie's de Vega
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Ellie's de Vega (SR:62, 6/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries only 9-1 — a meaningful weight edge over the top two weights. The DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at today's trip, and the market has steamed in 28% from opening, the strongest move in the race bar Lady Grey's speculative support. A consistent form line of 433522 at the same class shows a horse competitive at this level; trainer Philip Kirby's 3% strike rate is a concern, but jockey Tom Kiely-Marshall's booking and the sharp market move suggest yard confidence. Course:W0P1 adds a small positive thread at Redcar. Each-way alternative: Macedonian. Main danger: Macedonian — Macedonian (SR:57, 13/2) has steamed in 19% in the market — the joint-strongest positive move among the credible runners — carries Connor Beasley who strikes at 15%, and while DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are negatives, the market confidence is hard to ignore in a wide-open 20-runner field.
Full result
Winner: Hurstwood (GB) at SP 20/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hurstwood 18/1
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2
Ziva's Star 66/1
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3
Stormy Pearl 10/1
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4
Night Emperor Fox #3 5/1
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5
South Shore Island 14/1
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6
Ellie's de Vega Fox #1 6/1
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7
Mrs Trump 9/2
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8
Macedonian Fox #2 6/1
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9
Drish Samphire 14/1
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10
Rinky Tinky Tinky 33/1
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11
Indy's Angel 10/1
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12
Lope Y Linda 8/1
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13
Lindoro 33/1
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14
Lady Grey 20/1
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15
Sparkling Wine 22/1
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16
Fair Isle Sioux 80/1
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—
Multaneighttothree -
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—
Heathers Feather 40/1
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—
Little Beck Annie Fox #4 9/1
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—
Battenburg Belle 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ellie's de Vega 6/1 6TH
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2
Macedonian 13/2 8TH
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3
Night Emperor 6/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Little Beck Annie 15/2