← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Group 1)
Mr Fox’s call
Ten Bob Tony
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Ten Bob Tony (SR:131, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a meaningful margin over Notable Speech (SR:126) and Lake Forest (SR:125), and carries 9-8 — identical to the main market rivals, so no weight disadvantage to offset the SR edge. Crucially, he has confirmed GoingFit:+ for today's good-to-soft conditions, which is a concrete data point that most rivals lack (?). The market has aggressively backed him in 35% from the morning, the most emphatic move in the entire field, signalling informed confidence. His form string -48114 shows two consecutive wins before a fourth last time, and at 7/2 he represents fair value given the SR leadership and going confirmation. Each-way alternative: Flora Of Bermuda. Main danger: Notable Speech — Notable Speech (SR:126, 5/2) is the market's nominal favourite with a 16% market-in move and Charlie Appleby/William Buick booking — a formidable connections combination — and if his unproven distance and going profile proves no obstacle, his class record makes him the likeliest to deny Ten Bob Tony.
Full result
Winner: Notable Speech (GB) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Notable Speech Fox #2 11/4
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2
Lake Forest Fox #4 11/2
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3
Marvelman 22/1
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4
Ten Bob Tony Fox #1 10/3
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5
Zavateri 13/2
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6
Puerto Rico 22/1
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7
Rogue Diplomat 16/1
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8
Paborus 20/1
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9
Satono Reve 12/1
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10
Flora Of Bermuda Fox #3 9/1
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11
Lifeplan 80/1
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12
Power Blue 40/1
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13
Native Warrior 40/1
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14
Powerful Glory 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ten Bob Tony 7/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Notable Speech 5/2 SP 9/4F 🏆 WON
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3
Flora Of Bermuda 12/1 10TH
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4
Lake Forest 11/2 🥈 2ND