Sky Bet Constantine Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap)

16:10 York Sat 22 Aug 2026 0m6f0y Class 2 Good to Soft 20 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Dance In The Storm

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%

🏁 4TH

Mr Fox says

Dance In The Storm (SR:112, 9/4) is the standout on every meaningful metric. The SR of 112 is comfortably the highest in a 20-runner field where the next best is Air Force One at 105 — a 7-point gap that is significant at this level. The market has backed this view emphatically, steaming in 47% since opening, the largest market move in the field by a wide margin, and Oisin Murphy (21% strike rate, 1,345 career runners) is a career-best booking for Andrew Balding (19%, 1,473 runners). The DistFit:+ confirms proven ability over 6f, and the tongue-tie (HG:h) suggests a specific headgear tweak from connections who clearly believe the horse is ready to deliver. Carrying 9-7 is entirely manageable against a competitive spread of weights, and the recent form — last-time-out win off this mark — confirms peak readiness. Each-way alternative: Air Force One. Main danger: Air Force One — Air Force One (SR:105, 5/1) has course form (W1P2), is running off the same mark as his last win (MarkMv:=), shortened 11% in the market, and PJ McDonald's booking on a horse trained by Geoff Oldroyd — who rarely runs a horse at York unless primed — signals stable confidence that could see this second-highest rated runner land a blow at a generous price.

Verify· #13761

Full result

Winner: Sondad (GB) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.