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Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed Race)

16:45 York Sat 22 Aug 2026 0m5f0y Class 1 Good to Soft 12 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Adonius silks

Adonius

MEDIUM Advised 15/8 Est. 38%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Adonius (SR 106, 15/8) is the clear class standout in this field — at SR 106 he sits materially above the next-best cluster of Dubai Champion (SR 100), Hickory Lad (SR 98), and Sale Shark/Dance A Jig/Dorigo (all SR 97). His form string 1-1-1-2 shows consistent near-the-top performances and his most recent run was a defeat rather than a win, which often marks a horse being caught by a sharp improver before bouncing back. Crucially, the market has moved in his favour by 13% — meaningful money at Listed level — and Rebecca Menzies, despite a modest overall strike rate, has clearly targeted this race for a horse rated 6-8 points clear of the field. Equal weights across the board remove any burden advantage for rivals. The ★★★★☆ AI probability star rating further supports him as the most likely winner in this twelve-runner contest. Each-way alternative: Dubai Champion. Main danger: Dubai Champion — Dubai Champion (SR 100, 9/2) carries Ryan Moore — a 27% career strike rate jockey — has shortened 21% in the market, and his 4-3-1-2 form shows progressive improvement stepping up in class, making him the most credible threat to Adonius at a fair price.

Verify· #13785

Full result

Winner: Sale Shark (IRE) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Sale Shark silks Sale Shark Fox #3 Hugo Palmer · Oisin Murphy 13/2
  2. 2 Adonius silks Adonius Fox #1 Rebecca Menzies · Kaiya Fraser 15/8
  3. 3 Hickory Lad silks Hickory Lad Fox #4 Phillip Makin · Sam James 9/1
  4. 4 Dorigo silks Dorigo Kevin Ryan · Kevin Stott 6/1
  5. 5 Silesia silks Silesia Kevin Ryan · Shane Gray 100/1
  6. 6 El Floridita silks El Floridita Nigel Tinkler · Tom Marquand 22/1
  7. 7 Hanney Boy silks Hanney Boy Miss Evanna McCutcheon · Liam Keniry 50/1
  8. 8 Roots In Touche silks Roots In Touche Adrian Keatley · M. P. Sheehy 80/1
  9. 9 Dance A Jig silks Dance A Jig Ralph Beckett · Rossa Ryan 11/1
  10. 10 Jaan Ki Tukri silks Jaan Ki Tukri Clive Cox · Kieran Shoemark 12/1
  11. 11 Dubai Champion silks Dubai Champion Fox #2 Ben Haslam · Ryan Moore 7/2
  12. — Undercover Affair silks Undercover Affair David Evans · Saffie Osborne 66/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Adonius silks Adonius 15/8 🥈 2ND
  2. 2 Dubai Champion silks Dubai Champion 9/2 11TH
  3. 3 Sale Shark silks Sale Shark 6/1 SP 17/2 🏆 WON
  4. 4 Hickory Lad silks Hickory Lad 11/1 🥉 3RD