← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Coolmore Stud City Of Troy Tom Cooper Irish EBF Futurity Stakes (Group 2)
Mr Fox’s call
Nola Soul
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Nola Soul (SR 103, 10/3) brings the only unbeaten form line in the field with a 1-1 record and steps up to Group 2 off the back of back-to-back wins. At 10/3 she is the second-shortest price in the market, reflecting genuine confidence from punters, and the Stack yard — though a modest 10% strike rate overall — has Seamie Heffernan, one of Ireland's shrewdest big-race jockeys, in the saddle. Florida Bay (SR 111) holds the highest SR in the field but is running off a mark 11lb higher than at last win and just won a maiden-level heat, while Nola Soul's unbeaten sequence and joint-favourite market positioning make her the most credible proposition at a price that still offers value over the Aidan O'Brien joint-favourite. Each-way alternative: Florida Bay. Main danger: Florida Bay — Florida Bay holds the field's highest SR at 111, has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and going fitness (GoingFit:+) — the only runner with both confirmed — and the 8% market move in signals yard confidence despite the +11lb mark rise.
Full result
Winner: Giant Sequoia (USA) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Giant Sequoia Fox #3 11/8
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2
Florida Bay Fox #2 4/1
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3
Green Dreamer 28/1
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4
Nola Soul Fox #1 10/3
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5
City of Dubai Fox #4 7/1
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6
Nail House 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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