← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Comer Group International Irish St. Leger Trial Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Carmers
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Carmers (SR:113, 11/8) is the class-leader in this modest 7-runner field and has steamed in 17% in the market — the most significant positive move here. Proven at this distance (DistFit:+) which is a key differentiator in a race where five of the seven runners have an unknown or moderate distance profile (DistFit:?/~). Trainer Pat Twomey fires at 23% and the tongue-tie/visor combination suggests connections know this horse and are setting it up for a peak performance. The recent form 25-516 is workmanlike but the market move is decisive — at a track where money talks, a 17% inward move on a course-distance fit runner with the top SR deserves respect. Each-way alternative: Kizlyar. Main danger: Kizlyar — Kizlyar (SR:104, 10/3) is the O'Brien yard's primary runner per the Stable:1 flag, ridden by the in-form Dylan Browne McMonagle, and has steamed in 16% — nearly matching Carmers — with a recent 011 form string suggesting a horse in sharply improving form.
Full result
Winner: Queenstown (IRE) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Queenstown 13/2
-
2
Kizlyar Fox #2 10/3
-
3
Leinster 12/1
-
4
Layfayette 16/1
-
5
Carmers Fox #1 6/5
-
6
Dallas Star 33/1
-
—
Asakir Fox #3 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Carmers 11/8 5TH
-
2
Kizlyar 10/3 🥈 2ND
-
3
Asakir 10/1