← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Friends Of Moorefield GAA Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Hugo's Girl
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 18%
Mr Fox says
Hugo's Girl holds the highest SR in the field at 72, carrying 9-13 which is a manageable weight in a 31-runner sprint handicap. W J Lee is a 14%-strike-rate booking in a field full of apprentices and low-percentage jockeys, a significant edge in a competitive cavalry charge. The market has drifted 11% (Mkt:out11%), but the drift is best explained by the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags rather than any fundamental doubt about ability — in a field where virtually every runner shares those weaknesses, the SR superiority and jockey quality override the concern. Mint Man (SR:70, Mkt:in5%) is the clearest danger, last-time-out winner off +6lb but with a 2%-strike-rate trainer and a 5%-jockey, making connections a clear negative contrast. Each-way alternative: Poweracclaim. Main danger: Mint Man — Mint Man (SR:70, 13/2, Mkt:in5%) is a last-time-out winner who the market is quietly backing, and while the +6lb mark rise and low-percentage connections are concerns, the SR is second only to Hugo's Girl and the gentle steam suggests informed support.
Full result
Winner: Clonmacash (GB) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Clonmacash 12/1
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2
Rosato 14/1
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3
Irish Rumour 33/1
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4
Coincidental Glory 14/1
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5
Hugo's Girl Fox #1 4/1
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6
Four Blondes 14/1
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7
Pinar Del Rio 16/1
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8
Cladach 22/1
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9
Caffu Zafeen 16/1
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10
Cashel Blue Fox #4 22/1
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11
Bold Optimist 10/1
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12
Platino Bianco 25/1
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13
Soulful Diva 10/1
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14
Ocean Echo 66/1
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15
Lady Landhort 66/1
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16
Caislean Ni Cuan 40/1
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17
Kiss Don't Tell 33/1
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18
Beat The Devil 16/1
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19
Mint Man Fox #2 6/1
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20
Treasured Royal 14/1
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21
Are You In Or Out 50/1
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22
Battleforsupremacy 28/1
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23
Chester Nimitz 12/1
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24
Absoluteassignment 100/1
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25
Glasarmi 33/1
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26
De Songbird 80/1
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27
Unidos 16/1
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—
Poweracclaim Fox #3 SP
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—
Raven's Call 50/1
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—
Fontaine Khaled 33/1
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—
She's On The Ball 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Hugo's Girl 11/2 5TH
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2
Mint Man 13/2 19TH
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3
Poweracclaim 6/1
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4
Cashel Blue 14/1 10TH