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John Heal Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Dreams Galore
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Dreams Galore (SR 80, 11/8) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field by 11 points over Harry's Pop (SR 69), and that SR advantage is substantial in a weak Class 6 nursery. The form string 74711 — two consecutive wins most recently — confirms peak form and progression, and DistFit:+ demonstrates a proven affinity for this 5f215y trip. Billy Loughnane (19% career strike rate, 1,774 runners) is a high-quality booking, and Ollie Sangster's yard is ticking over respectably at 13%. The mark is 7lb higher than at last win (MarkMv:+7) which is the only genuine concern, but at this class level with this SR advantage, that rise should be absorbable. Each-way alternative: Harry's Pop. Main danger: Harry's Pop — Harry's Pop (SR 69, 9/4) won last time out off the same mark (MarkMv:=), carries identical weight to Dreams Galore at 10-1, and despite a 14% drift, Ray Dawson's booking and the fresh six-day turnaround suggests connections are confident enough to run quickly — a horse that has found its level could give Dreams Galore a stern test if the market is wrong about the drift.
Full result
Winner: Harry's Pop (GB) at SP 2/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Harry's Pop Fox #2 2/1
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2
Crowned Fox #3 11/4
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3
Dreams Galore Fox #1 7/4
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4
Cydney Sweenie 14/1
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5
Pageant Girl 28/1
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6
Priscilla's Hope 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3