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Blackmore Equestrian Construction Handicap Stakes (Brighton Summer Sprint Series Final)
Mr Fox’s call
Arnaz
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Arnaz carries the highest SR in the field at 70 off a light 9-3, and his form string 787811 shows two consecutive wins to arrive here in peak condition. At 5/2 the market is confident, and a 6% market shortening confirms money is still coming. The concern is DistFit:- and GoingFit:- on today's good ground over 5f215y, but at 5 years old with back-to-back wins his current momentum is the strongest signal in the race. Billy Loughnane (19% strike rate, 1774 career rides) is a high-quality booking and completes a compelling multi-signal case. Each-way alternative: Prefer The Sister. Main danger: Secret Handsheikh — Secret Handsheikh (SR:67, 6/1) posted a last-time-out win off form 387151, holds Course:W1P3 at Brighton, and has shortened 6% in the market — three aligning signals that make it the most credible alternative to Arnaz despite the step up four class tiers.
Full result
Winner: Giant (GB) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Giant 10/1
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2
Diomed Spirit 12/1
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3
Candy Warhol 18/1
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4
Big Time Rascal 12/1
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5
Secret Handsheikh Fox #3 6/1
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6
Arnaz Fox #1 3/1
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7
Kento 22/1
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8
Port Hedland 50/1
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9
Dion Baker Fox #4 13/2
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10
Washington Heir 14/1
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11
Twirler 17/2
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12
My Boy Jack 33/1
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13
Bated Breeze 20/1
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14
Neptune Legend 14/1
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15
Daley T 100/1
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16
Prefer The Sister Fox #2 7/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Arnaz 5/2 6TH
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2
Prefer The Sister 7/1 16TH
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3
Secret Handsheikh 6/1 5TH
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4
Dion Baker 17/2 9TH